Fans like To See an Underdog Win One of The Triple Crown Races
The 138th running of the Kentucky Derby is quickly approaching on Saturday, May 5, 2012 with an specific article time of 6:24 PM EDT, and for the 138th consecutive time since its inauguration at 1875 (envision that a time before there was anything as a refrigerator, a World War I or II, a coffee machine, or before an evil dictator like Joseph Stalin or Adolf Hitler was CONCEIVED), the eyes of the racing world is going to be centered on Churchill Downs Racetrack at Louisville, Kentucky.

Many different sorts of thoroughbreds have won the Kentucky Derby.  Some, like Triple Crown winners Secretariat, Citation, Affirmed, Seattle Slew, or Whirlaway, were either outright or lukewarm favorites.   There have been nine geldings who've won the Run for the Roses from 138 races, and none of them was favored.  Certainly the most recent gelding winner, Mine That Bird at 2009 in 53 to 1, was an underdog, a very long shot , and the way Calvin Borel skimmed that rail to direct his improbable candidate to the bouquet of red roses to an almost 7 span victory stunned the racing world.  But more than this, it revealed how when you get twenty five three-year-olds collectively in the exact same race running a space none of them have traversed earlier, the results tend to be irregular.  Indeed, they're more frequently than not, totally unpredictable.

Americans love to root for the underdog, and the Kentucky Derby is a great platform that provides sports fans of all races, colour, gender, or creed the opportunity to see, using their very own eyes, even a David slay Goliath.  The truth of the matter is, it doesn't happen all that frequently.  Going back the previous 50 years, some basic research shows that the Kentucky Derby winner is somewhere on the top few finishers of the past major Derby prep races an incredible 95% of the time.  To put it differently, the horse that usually ends up winning the Kentucky Derby has shown the tell tale signs of true championship quality somewhere along the line, which is not surprising.

I'm considering that other 5% because nobody pays that much focus on horses at the group.  Sure, they finish their juvenile and early three-year-old preps with enough graded stakes earnings, but these earnings frequently ring a bit hollow as they're largely Grade III earnings, a far cry from the consistent Grade I competition that most of the Kentucky Derby favorites, or at least the ultimate winner, generally boasts, which high level of competition is what makes people root so ardently for a Kentucky Derby underdog.  If it happened more than the 5% of the time, then the horses that won in that style wouldn't longer be called underdogs, but instead underGROUND favorites!